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Feb 3, 2026

Record 9.5 billion passenger trips forecast as China’s 40-day Spring-Festival travel rush kicks off

Record 9.5 billion passenger trips forecast as China’s 40-day Spring-Festival travel rush kicks off
The world’s largest annual human migration—known in China as ‘chunyun’—began on 2 February, 15 days ahead of the Lunar New Year on 17 February (en.people.cn). Transport ministry officials expect 9.5 billion passenger journeys by road, rail and air before the rush ends on 13 March, smashing the previous record set in 2019.

Rail operators have added 426 extra high-speed services per day and placed 120 new 350 km/h Fuxing sets into circulation, lifting seat capacity to 540 million.

Civil-aviation regulators approved 2,100 additional flights, targeting migrant-worker corridors such as Shenzhen–Chongqing and Beijing–Harbin.

Record 9.5 billion passenger trips forecast as China’s 40-day Spring-Festival travel rush kicks off


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For multinational companies the impact is twofold: factories will shutter for up to three weeks, and domestic travel demand will crowd out seat inventory for inbound executives. Travel managers are already seeing spike pricing—some Beijing–Shanghai business-class fares have doubled week-on-week.

Hoteliers anticipate near-full occupancy in tier-2 sightseeing cities as a growing share of travellers swap hometown visits for leisure breaks. Duty-of-care teams should reinforce crowd-management and health protocols as stations prepare for daily peaks of more than 13 million rail passengers.

The National Immigration Administration says it has deployed 2,300 extra officers to major airports and land ports to keep inbound queues under 30 minutes, mindful of China’s drive to present a ‘more open’ image to foreign visitors.
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