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  7. Merz warns Middle-East war could trigger new refugee wave toward Germany

Merz warns Middle-East war could trigger new refugee wave toward Germany

Mar 7, 2026
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Merz warns Middle-East war could trigger new refugee wave toward Germany
Speaking in Stockach, Baden-Württemberg, on 6 March 2026, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz linked the fast-moving conflict between the United States, Israel and Iran to Europe’s migration pressures. Merz argued that a collapse of Iranian state structures would produce a "Syrian scenario on steroids" and push hundreds of thousands of displaced people toward the EU’s external frontier. Germany therefore had a “vital security interest” in preventing state failure, he said, promising to lobby both Washington and Jerusalem for measures that avoid an Iranian power vacuum. The Chancellor’s remarks come as UNHCR has already declared the war a major humanitarian emergency.

Merz warns Middle-East war could trigger new refugee wave toward Germany


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Berlin responded by pledging €100 million in additional aid for Lebanon—seen in Berlin as a buffer state that could otherwise export asylum-seekers into the Schengen area. Foreign-minister Johann Wadephul stated that the package would “help people where they are and take pressure off European asylum systems.” Merz’s comments are politically significant at home. His conservative coalition has staked its reputation on reducing irregular arrivals after asylum claims rose 12 % in 2025 despite temporary land-border checks. Opposition parties accuse the government of focusing on policing rather than humanitarian prevention. By explicitly tying foreign-policy objectives to migration control, Merz broadened the debate and signalled that Germany will pursue an integrated “foreign-migration nexus.” For multinationals that move staff in and out of Germany, the speech is a reminder that geopolitical crises can reshape immigration compliance almost overnight. Companies should monitor travel-advice updates and expect tighter document checks if refugee numbers rise again later in the year.

German Visas & Immigration Team @ VisaHQ

VisaHQ's expert visas and immigration team helps individuals and companies navigate global travel, work, and residency requirements. We handle document preparation, application filings, government agencies coordination, every aspect necessary to ensure fast, compliant, and stress-free approvals.

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