A new report from staffing major TeamLease, released on 12 November, predicts that India will host more than 2,400 Global Capability Centres (GCCs) by 2030—up from roughly 1,800 today—generating US$110 billion in annual export revenue. Speaking to Reuters, CEO Rishi Agarwal argued that Washington’s ongoing clamp-down on H-1B visas under President Donald Trump has had “minimal long-term impact” on multinational off-shoring strategies.
While tighter US scrutiny has raised compliance costs and sparked headline anxiety, companies see India’s deep talent pool and state-level GCC incentives as stronger pull factors. TeamLease notes that over 60 % of its own revenue now stems from GCC staffing, and it foresees a wave of ‘nano-GCCs’ with sub-100 headcounts focused on AI and R&D.
![India’s Global Capability Centres set to hit 2,400 by 2030 despite US H-1B squeeze]()
For global mobility teams this means a continued two-way flow of talent: inbound expatriate managers overseeing new captive centres, and outbound Indian specialists travelling to headquarters for rotations—even if direct H-1B approvals plateau. Companies are therefore pivoting to alternatives such as Canada’s Global Talent Stream and Germany’s Blue Card for short-term deployments while leveraging India for scale work.
State governments like Uttar Pradesh and Telangana are meanwhile rolling out fast-track work-permit desks and single-window clearances to court GCC investments—another sign that India’s sub-national policy environment is becoming a differentiator in site-selection.
The report’s topline message is clear: political turbulence in the US may shuffle visa chess pieces, but the structural economics of India-centred service hubs remain bullish.
While tighter US scrutiny has raised compliance costs and sparked headline anxiety, companies see India’s deep talent pool and state-level GCC incentives as stronger pull factors. TeamLease notes that over 60 % of its own revenue now stems from GCC staffing, and it foresees a wave of ‘nano-GCCs’ with sub-100 headcounts focused on AI and R&D.
For global mobility teams this means a continued two-way flow of talent: inbound expatriate managers overseeing new captive centres, and outbound Indian specialists travelling to headquarters for rotations—even if direct H-1B approvals plateau. Companies are therefore pivoting to alternatives such as Canada’s Global Talent Stream and Germany’s Blue Card for short-term deployments while leveraging India for scale work.
State governments like Uttar Pradesh and Telangana are meanwhile rolling out fast-track work-permit desks and single-window clearances to court GCC investments—another sign that India’s sub-national policy environment is becoming a differentiator in site-selection.
The report’s topline message is clear: political turbulence in the US may shuffle visa chess pieces, but the structural economics of India-centred service hubs remain bullish.
