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Feb 13, 2026

China’s immigration authority forecasts 14 % surge in Spring Festival travel, highlighting pressure on Hong Kong land ports

China’s immigration authority forecasts 14 % surge in Spring Festival travel, highlighting pressure on Hong Kong land ports
The National Immigration Administration (NIA) in Beijing expects average daily cross-border trips during the Spring Festival to top 2.05 million nationwide—14.1 % higher than 2025—with land ports adjoining Hong Kong and Macao set to experience pronounced peaks on 18-19 February.(globaltimes.cn) Shenzhen’s Luohu and Futian checkpoints alone could handle 391,000 travellers per day, placing knock-on pressure on the connected Lo Wu and Lok Ma Chau Spur Line facilities in Hong Kong.

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China’s immigration authority forecasts 14 % surge in Spring Festival travel, highlighting pressure on Hong Kong land ports


For Hong Kong businesses, the mainland forecast validates local authorities’ own 11.38 million-trip estimate and signals that spill-over congestion is likely if delays occur on the Shenzhen side. Multinationals operating just-in-time GBA supply chains are pre-clearing customs documents and shifting sensitive cargo to night-time slots.

The NIA attributed the uptick to China’s expanded visa-free entry for 15 countries and a rebound in outbound holidays to Southeast Asia and the Middle East. It warned that 15 February will be the outbound peak, with return waves on 22-23 February.

Hong Kong’s logistics sector is responding by adding overnight bonded truck services and coordinating with Shenzhen Frontier Inspection for dedicated “green lanes” for perishables. Mobility managers should monitor real-time advisories from both sides and advise staff to register for e-Channel use where eligible.
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