
Canada’s fall fiscal update, tabled in Parliament on 15 November, confirms dramatic cuts to temporary-resident inflows beginning in 2026. Targets for international students will plunge from a planned 305,900 next year to 155,000, while Temporary Foreign Worker Program approvals fall to 230,000—down 37 per cent. Overall temporary-resident intake will drop to 385,000, a 43 per cent reduction compared with 2025.
Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland framed the reductions as “responsible population management” designed to ease pressure on housing, health care and transit systems. The Parliamentary Budget Officer estimates the smaller intake will shave $168 million from application-fee revenue over four years but could moderate rent inflation by up to 1.2 percentage points annually.
At the same time, Ottawa will carve out up to 33,000 permanent-residence spots for long-term work-permit holders under a yet-to-be-detailed transition program. Protected persons already in Canada will also gain a dedicated two-year pathway to permanent residency, backed by $120 million for faster processing.
Universities and polytechnics reacted with alarm, warning that halving student-visa approvals could blow a $3-billion hole in 2026 operating budgets. Several institutions are now exploring corporate partnerships and differential domestic tuition increases to offset lost revenue.
Employers who rely on seasonal foreign labour must prepare early: Service Canada will tighten Labour Market Impact Assessment (LMIA) thresholds and may re-impose regional unemployment-rate caps abolished during the pandemic. Immigration advisers recommend auditing workforce plans and accelerating permanent-residence sponsorships for critical staff before the 2026 quotas bite.
The fiscal update signals that Canada’s era of runaway temporary migration is ending. Businesses will need to pivot toward retention of existing foreign workers, automation, and productivity gains rather than counting on ever-growing labour inflows.
Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland framed the reductions as “responsible population management” designed to ease pressure on housing, health care and transit systems. The Parliamentary Budget Officer estimates the smaller intake will shave $168 million from application-fee revenue over four years but could moderate rent inflation by up to 1.2 percentage points annually.
At the same time, Ottawa will carve out up to 33,000 permanent-residence spots for long-term work-permit holders under a yet-to-be-detailed transition program. Protected persons already in Canada will also gain a dedicated two-year pathway to permanent residency, backed by $120 million for faster processing.
Universities and polytechnics reacted with alarm, warning that halving student-visa approvals could blow a $3-billion hole in 2026 operating budgets. Several institutions are now exploring corporate partnerships and differential domestic tuition increases to offset lost revenue.
Employers who rely on seasonal foreign labour must prepare early: Service Canada will tighten Labour Market Impact Assessment (LMIA) thresholds and may re-impose regional unemployment-rate caps abolished during the pandemic. Immigration advisers recommend auditing workforce plans and accelerating permanent-residence sponsorships for critical staff before the 2026 quotas bite.
The fiscal update signals that Canada’s era of runaway temporary migration is ending. Businesses will need to pivot toward retention of existing foreign workers, automation, and productivity gains rather than counting on ever-growing labour inflows.







