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Oct 25, 2025

Visa applications plunge 43 % as new rules bite; government eyes fast-track permits for AI talent

Visa applications plunge 43 % as new rules bite; government eyes fast-track permits for AI talent
Fresh Home Office statistics highlighted on 25 October reveal a 42 % year-on-year slump in work-and-study visa applications between April and December 2024, with overseas student demand and care-worker recruitment hardest hit. Applications for Health & Care Worker visas fell a staggering 79 % after dependants were barred in March and the skilled-worker salary threshold was raised to £38,700 in April.

Universities warn of a potential £2 billion funding shortfall next academic year, while social-care leaders say staff shortages could reach “crisis proportions” by spring 2026. In contrast, skilled-worker applications dipped only 3 %, suggesting employers are absorbing higher salary thresholds for critical roles.

Against this backdrop the Prime Minister is preparing to publish an ‘AI Opportunities Action Plan’ that would create a dedicated fast-track visa lane for artificial-intelligence professionals, mirroring similar schemes in Canada and Singapore. Tech envoy Matt Clifford is drafting recommendations that could cut sponsorship processing to five days and waive the Immigration Skills Charge for approved AI startups.

The juxtaposition underscores the government’s attempt to curb overall immigration while courting strategically valuable talent—an approach that could complicate compliance frameworks for HR teams juggling multiple visa categories.

Mobility leaders should track the forthcoming consultation closely: accelerated AI permits may offer relief for digital-skills hiring but could also come with stricter claw-back provisions if assignees switch employers within two years.
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